BTC-USD $70,437 ▲ 0.39%
ETH-USD $2,152 ▲ 0.88%
SPY $648.51 ▼ 3.34%
QQQ $582.07 ▼ 3.5%
AAPL $248.19 ▼ 2.33%
TSLA $367.97 ▼ 7.55%
Last updated: Mar 21, 2026 21:39 UTC
Current Market Regime
🟢 CONTRARIAN OPPORTUNITY
46 signals monitoring
Crypto Fear & Greed at 12 — Extreme Fear
📢
Markets are nervous. The VIX is at 27, above normal levels. Crypto sentiment is at Extreme Fear (12/100). Historically, these are the moments that look terrible but end up being the best buying opportunities — if you can stomach the volatility. The Fed funds rate sits at 3.64%, keeping borrowing costs elevated.
0
Wins
0
Losses
N/A (no resolved trades yet)
Win Rate
6
Active Calls
Active Calls — Specific & Trackable
🔬
Early Research Phase. We're currently tracking 6 assets (BTC, ETH, SPY, QQQ, AAPL, TSLA) across crypto, indices, and equities. This universe will grow as we validate our models — more stocks, commodities, forex, and sector ETFs are on the roadmap. Every call below has a specific entry, target, and stop so you can track our accuracy over time. We're building this in public — wins and losses alike.
BTC-USD $70,436.80
MEDIUM
LONG
Entry$70,436.80 (at market)
Target$71,559.69 (+1.6%)
Stop$69,875.36 (-0.8%)
Timeframe2-8 weeks
Crypto Fear & Greed at 12 — Extreme Fear. Historically, buying when sentiment is this depressed has been profitable over a multi-week horizon.
Full Analysis
Current price $70,436.80 is below the 200-day SMA ($71,823.28). This is a contrarian call based on sentiment, not trend. Risk is real — price could fall further. Wide stop (-0.8%) reflects uncertainty. Position size accordingly: this should be a small allocation, not a full conviction trade.
ETH-USD $2,152.23
MEDIUM
LONG
Entry$2,152.23 (at market)
Target$2,190.10 (+1.8%)
Stop$2,133.29 (-0.9%)
Timeframe2-8 weeks
Crypto Fear & Greed at 12 — Extreme Fear. Historically, buying when sentiment is this depressed has been profitable over a multi-week horizon.
Full Analysis
Current price $2,152.23 is below the 200-day SMA ($2,185.98). This is a contrarian call based on sentiment, not trend. Risk is real — price could fall further. Wide stop (-0.9%) reflects uncertainty. Position size accordingly: this should be a small allocation, not a full conviction trade.
SPY $648.51
HIGH
AVOID
TimeframeUntil price reclaims SMA200 + MACD turns bullish
Downtrend. Price below 200-day SMA and MACD bearish. Don't try to catch the bottom.
Full Analysis
Price $648.51 is -4.5% below SMA200 ($679.01). MACD histogram: -0.8366 (bearish). Weekly: -4.3%. Wait for a confirmed reversal — both MACD crossover AND price above SMA200.
QQQ $582.07
HIGH
AVOID
TimeframeUntil price reclaims SMA200 + MACD turns bullish
Downtrend. Price below 200-day SMA and MACD bearish. Don't try to catch the bottom.
Full Analysis
Price $582.07 is -3.6% below SMA200 ($604.01). MACD histogram: -0.8938 (bearish). Weekly: -2.2%. Wait for a confirmed reversal — both MACD crossover AND price above SMA200.
AAPL $248.19
LOW
WAIT
Timeframe1-5 days for signal clarity
Mixed signals — indicators not aligned. No clear edge right now.
Full Analysis
Price $248.19 vs SMA200 $261.99. MACD histogram: 0.0992. Signals are conflicting. Better to wait for alignment than force a trade. We'll update when indicators give a clear reading.
TSLA $367.97
HIGH
AVOID
TimeframeUntil price reclaims SMA200 + MACD turns bullish
Downtrend. Price below 200-day SMA and MACD bearish. Don't try to catch the bottom.
Full Analysis
Price $367.97 is -8.9% below SMA200 ($403.75). MACD histogram: -1.3806 (bearish). Weekly: -8.3%. Wait for a confirmed reversal — both MACD crossover AND price above SMA200.
👀 On Our Radar
🩸
Crypto Blood in the Streets
Fear & Greed at 12. Warren Buffett's famous quote: "Be greedy when others are fearful." We're watching for signs of a bottom.
🔌
Bitcoin Hash Rate Dropping
Miners are pulling back (hash rate down 22.2%). Could mean capitulation — which historically precedes bottoms.
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Experiments
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Signals Tracked
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Current Best Strategy
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Experiment History
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